Terminalbeta?
◈ Labs

Funding carry

v1.0Review: research

Sign in to run Labs models

The free Explore plan includes 50 runs a month.

Sign in →
How it works and its limits
Inputs
Settled funding rates of every venue over 10 days and each venue's settlement interval and next settlement from ArcDelta, side and notional.
Outputs
Forecast of the next-day average rate, annualised rate on the venue's own interval, carry per day and at the next settlement, venue that pays best, live check against the last rate.
Evidence
0.6 × last settled rate + 0.4 × 3-day mean predicted the next-day average rate with an MAE of 0.51 bp, against 0.59 bp for the last rate and 0.78 bp for zero, on 488 venue symbols.
Limits
A short-term forecast, not a signal: rates can jump at the venue cap, and venues may change the interval. Fees and price moves are not included.
Minimum data
One settled rate and a known interval per venue; three days for the full blend.
API
GET /labs/funding-carry?symbol=BTCUSDT&side=long&notional=10000
Funding carry — TreVmS Labs · TreVmS